External publications

Bond yield spillovers from major advanced economies to emerging Asia

Belke, Ansgar / Irina Dubova / Ulrich Volz
External Publications (2017)

London: SOAS University of London (Department of Economics Working Paper 203)

This paper explores the extent to which changes to long-term interest rates in major advanced economies have influenced long-term government bond yields in Emerging Asia. To gauge long-term interest spillover effects, the paper uses VAR variance decompositions with high frequency data. Our results reveal that sovereign bond yields in Emerging Asia responded significantly to changes to US and Eurozone bond yields, although the magnitudes were heterogeneous across countries. The size of spillovers varied over time. The pattern of these
variations can partially be explained by the implementation of different unconventional monetary policy measures in advanced countries.